Artificial intelligence will replace 40% of the workforce in the next 15 years
One of the first scientists in the field of AI is convinced that in 15 years artificial intelligence will replace about 40% of workers. Kai-Fu Lee, a venture capitalist from China known for his research on “AI Superpowers”, believes that “smart robots” will change the world beyond recognition, more than electricity. He expects significant changes in all sectors, from education to services.
It is time for the younger generation to think about who they will work in 15 – 20 years, taking into account the pessimistic forecasts of the analyst.
How artificial intelligence will replace people
AI will increasingly perform the same type of routine tasks, replacing not only manual labor, but also office workers. The work activity of an ordinary car driver will change dramatically in the next 15-25 years. Professions that seem more difficult and creative to us, for example, a chef or a bartender, will be robotic. The staff of shops, cafes – all this will eventually turn into 40% of jobs transferred to artificial intelligence. But the most serious changes for the sphere of education. Whether investing in the company that put AI system in the remote classroom in China to those students who are far away from cities, could still obtain high-quality knowledge.
The task of the smart system is to assess how the student understands the subject and is interested in it. Probably soon the system will be able in the early stages to identify future geniuses. The program also creates a student account and determines what the stuck to the teacher was able to help timely and to explain obscure points.
These same students will have a dubious future, if 40% of the professions would be automated. Lee believes that there is really nothing to worry about, and man has always been stronger than any technological breakthroughs. Appearance of electricity, sewing machines, steam engines – all this somehow changed the work, but humanity survived and succeeded. The only the problem with artificial intelligence is that these 40% that once replace robots themselves are changing much faster than in the past revolutions.
For example, 70% of Chinese (there are 1.4 billion) order food, pay for communal services and rent bicycles through a smartphone. The industry of mobile gadgets gives the flow of important data for the tech giants of China. Information is a new gold, and in this regard, the country has a great advantage in the development of smart systems, in comparison with European colleagues.
However, the technology leader around the world is still the USA, which gradually enters into direct competition with the Chinese and will continue this movement in the future. Lee believes that the most talented scientists in the field of AI work in America, so the next 5 years, the two countries will be equal rivals in the struggle for the development of artificial intelligence. What will turn out such a race – a paradise on Earth or a man-made disaster with the enslavement of mankind by intelligent robots – we can only guess.